Airing now on MTV and Comedy Central. Good commercial.

Rove says, "He thinks he is a better father than all of you."  Funny.

image

Cool song.

Documents release by Sen. Carl Levin, D-Mich., who chairs the Senate Armed Services Committee yesterday show that the Bush Administration, knowing that it was torturing prisoners and violating international law, hid prisoners from the International Committee of the Red Cross.
clipped from www.mcclatchydc.com

From http://www.mcclatchdc.com:

The U.S. military hid the locations of suspected terrorist detainees and concealed harsh treatment to avoid the scrutiny of the International Committee of the Red Cross, according to documents that a Senate committee released Tuesday.

Regarding the ICRC, the United States long has complained that other countries such as China or the old Soviet Union prevented independent access to prisoners or made their conditions look better when outsiders were inspecting. The Bush administration appears to have engaged in similar practices, however.


FiveThirtyEight.com is ran by a man named Nate Silver, a University of Chicago Economics alum. In his spare time he developed comprehensive historical database that could project the future performance of any pro baseball player by matching him to a comparable predecessor--down to, like, his height, his weight, his career singles and the size of his home stadium. Called PECOTA, it's now recognized as the most accurate baseball forecasting system on the market.

Nate has now turned his sites to Political Predictions. He takes state polls and averages them like all the other sites. But he weights each poll based on the historical accuracy of the pollster and the historical voting patterns of the state's demographics.

With each site update he runs 10,000 simulations and posts the results. Currently, Obama wins 74.7% of the simulations. His current electoral vote count shows Obama with 332.8 votes and McCain with 205.2 votes.

He publishes how each pollster ranks in historical accuracy. This is useful when you are looking at articles like this that show a surprising lead for Obama in 3 swing states. The pollster, Quinnipiac, ranks in the top third of historical accurate pollsters. So there may be something to these polls.

Sam Stein writes about McCain's embrace of Bush's 2004 talking points. What I liked most about the article is it points out the differences between how the GOP handles terrorism and how the Democrats would handle terrorism.

The GOP use terror as a useful tool that helps them win elections. They beat the fear drum to help get out the vote. I believe they over-inflate the actual threat from terrorism for their own benefit.

From Sam Stein:

"In October 2004, Sen. John Kerry, in an 8,000 word article in New York Time Magazine, was quoted saying that the way for the U.S. to feel safe again would be for terrorism to not be 'the focus of our lives,' but rather a 'nuisance.'

''As a former law enforcement person,' said Kerry. 'I know we're never going to end prostitution. We're never going to end illegal gambling. But we're going to reduce it, organized crime, to a level where it isn't on the rise. It isn't threatening people's lives every day, and fundamentally, it's something that you continue to fight, but it's not threatening the fabric of your life.''

Bush, predictably, pounced on the remark. The president and his surrogates painted Kerry as dainty and soft on terror - unable to understand that criminal prosecution wouldn't deter al Qaeda. Never mind that, as FactCheck.org documented, Bush too had made a similar remark:

'I don't think you can win [the war on terror],' he said, 'but I think you can create conditions so that the--those who use terror as a tool are less acceptable in parts of the world, let's put it that way.'"
I agree with Kerry. Terrorism can't be the focus of our lives. I think the Democrats put Hope back on the table but the GOP continues to serve Fear.

I came across this quote today.

All that is necessary for the triumph of evil is that good men do nothing.
-- Edmund Burke
-- Irish orator, philosopher, & politician (1729 - 1797)
It explains why I spent hours on GOTV calls in 2006 and why I volunteer so much this year. I was dismayed by the results of the 2004 election. We can't let that happen again.

Unlike most elections, 2004 wasn't an election of left vs. right. It may sound like hyperbole but I think it was an election of good vs. evil. It was an election that determined whether the United States would become more like China and the former USSR or whether we would continue to be the champion of freedom and human rights around the world. We chose poorly. I think most people realize that now. I think Obama represents our best chance of cleaning up that mess and restoring our image around the globe.

I do believe this election is about left vs. right but the left needs to win to bring the right back to their senses.

Subscribe to: Posts (Atom)